Wednesday, March 16, 2011

CONFLICTING REPORTS ON U.S.A. on USA Support for or against Saudi Invasion

CONFLICTING REPORTS ON U.S.A. on USA Support for or against Saudi Invasion

I hear and see different news stories on Bahrain these days–e.g. from Reuters and Democracy Now. Please read (and/or listen) to the News and Tell me what is going on: Is the USA angry, upset, neutral or supportive of the recent small-scale invasion of Bahrain this week. (My friends in Bahrain aren’t able to tell me much.)–KAS

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/15/us-saudi-usa-analysis-idUSTRE72E89O20110315
(Reuters) – Saudi Arabia’s military intervention in Bahrain has exposed a diplomatic rift as Riyadh and Washington make different calculations over a crisis that could have a far-ranging impact on their relations.

Close Saudi-U.S. ties anchor stability in the oil-rich Gulf. The autocratic Sunni Muslim monarchy provides 12 percent of U.S. crude imports and serves as a powerful regional counterweight to Shi’ite-ruled Iran, a defiant U.S. foe.

But when Saudi troops rolled across the causeway into neighboring Bahrain on Monday to buttress the embattled Sunni royal family against protests by the island’s Shi’ite Muslim majority, Washington scrambled to respond as its own repeated pleas for negotiation appeared to have been swept aside.

“This is the tightrope the administration has to walk,” said Kenneth Pollack, a Middle East expert at the Brookings Institution, a Washington think tank.

“On the one hand they very much do want to embrace these kind of demands for democratic change. On the other hand, they do not want to wind up on the opposite side of any kind of confrontation with the Saudis,” he said.

The White House reacted carefully in giving the Obama administration’s view of the Saudi military move, insisting it was not an “invasion”, while urging Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states deploying forces to Bahrain to show restraint.

Few suggest that the fundamentals of the U.S.-Saudi relationship — built on oil, counterterrorism cooperation and a shared wariness of Iran — are under threat.

But Saudi Arabia’s involvement in Bahrain injects an unpredictable new element into the mix that could backfire if the tiny kingdom’s political violence escalates.

“The long-standing pillars of the relationship are still solid,” said Frederic Wehrey, a senior policy analyst at the Rand Corporation.

“But if Bahrain really goes south, there is a serious outbreak of violence and perhaps an overreaction by Saudi security forces, I think it could quickly escalate into a major issue between the two sides.”

White House spokesman Jay Carney said on Tuesday the United States was aware of Bahrain’s request for help from its neighbors and regarded Saudi Arabia as “an important partner.”

OIL AND IRAN

Bahrain’s crisis comes as Washington struggles to respond to protests across the Middle East that have toppled U.S.-allied governments in Egypt and Tunisia, rocked another in Yemen, and sparked a bloody rebellion against Libyan strongman Muammar Gaddafi.

The Saudi move into Bahrain raises uncertainties over two key U.S. interests: the price of oil and the role of Iran, which is already locked in a dispute with major western powers over its nuclear program and is seen by Washington as a dangerous troublemaker in the region.

Climbing oil prices, now at around $100 per barrel, have raised fears for the fragile U.S. economic recovery, and officials say potential further supply disruptions in the Gulf or elsewhere could exacerbate the situation.

The King of Bahrain has declared a state of emergency for three months following weeks of pro-democracy protests. The King’s announcement comes one day after about 1,000 Saudi troops crossed into Bahrain to help defend Bahrain’s ruling family. Pro-democracy protesters have described the Saudi presence on the island as a declaration of war. We speak to journalist Yana Kunichoff, reporting from Manama, and to Husain Abdulla of Americans for Democracy and Human Rights in Bahrain. “For the White House not to condemn such an invasion makes a clear statement that the United States knew very well this is going to happen,” Adbulla says.

http://www.democracynow.org/2011/3/15/bahrain_is_no_longer_an_independent

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